Thomas has undoubtedly had the best season of his short career this year as he led the Bruins to the top seed in the East. His Goals Against Average (GAA) and Save Percentage (S%) were the best in the NHL while placing sixth in the NHL with victories (36) and only playing in 54 games. Thomas also won the Williams M. Jennings trophy which is given to “the goalkeeper(s) having played a minimum of 25 games for the team with the fewest goals scored against it. Winners are selected based on regular-season play.” (Factoid, this is ManFran’s second Jennings trophy).
Both Bäckström and Mason had pretty incredible numbers as well. Listed below is a table I put together to look at their numbers and use a statistical view to see which player has the advantage when it comes to being the 2008-2009 winner of the Vezina Trophy.
Name | GP | W | L | OT | GAA | S% | SO | |
Tim Thomas | | 54 | 36 | 11 | 7 | 2.10 | .933 | 5 |
Niklas Bäckström | 71 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 2.29 | .923 | 8 | |
Steve Mason | 61 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 2.33 | .916 | 10 |
(Red/Bold means the player led the league in that category)
Thomas led the league in the two most important statistics when it comes to a goalie: GAA and S%, but what does that actually mean? In 2007-2008, Martin Brodeur won the Vezina despite having the league’s seventh best GAA (based on 13 starts or more) and the eleventh best S% with .920 (same stipulations apply as GAA). Well, maybe the 2006-2007 Vezina Trophy winner posted better numbers. Ah, Mr. Brodeur again: In the 2006-2007 season Brodeur was third in the NHL with a GAA of 2.18 and third with a S% of .922 (same stipulations, again).
So what does that hold for Timmeh? Well look at the other two finalists. Steve Mason had a spectacular rookie season and is also in the running for rookie of the year. His 10 shutouts were tops in the regular season and led the Blue Jackets to their first NHL playoff appearance. Everyone loves an underdog and Mason exemplifies the very sense of the word. He plays in a sub-par hockey city (my own personal view) on a very average team, yet put them on his back and ended up in the playoffs.
Niklas Bäckström has been a fantastic goalie for the Wild since he broke into the league. Every year Bäckström has played at a high level for Minnesota and, despite their terrible play, has been a bright spot since the 2006-2007. Although he is not a league leader in any category, he remains one of the best.
So my thoughts? I may be a little biased, but I believe that Thomas SHOULD come home with the Vezina Trophy simply based on leading the NHL in both GAA and S%. Wins and losses are much like the wins and losses of a relief pitcher in baseball, they don’t mean anything.
Theoretically, a goalie could turn away 50 shots and still lose 1-0, thus giving him a loss. Same as a relief pitcher in baseball. When you look for a good relief pitcher, you look at innings pitched and ERA. When you look at a goalie, you look at GAA and S%.
With that said, I see Thomas taking this trophy. Mason and Bäckström are solid finalists, but Thomas was THE REASON why the Bruins ended up as the best team in the East.
Manny Fernandez – Seriously, this guy was brought in so we could have a goalie tandem of a 1A (Thomas) and 1B (ManFran), but it wasn’t even close to that. In the 2007-2008 season, Fernandez played 4 games before succumbing to a knee injury. The 2008-2009 season was supposed to be ManFran’s comeback year, right? RIGHT!?
Well it wasn’t. Even though ManFran played in 28 games and had a win/loss record of 16-8-3, Fernandez was still a disappointment. He flat out played horribly during a stretch where he let in some of the worst goals of all time.
Remember this one?
You know it is bad when the NBC crew is calling you out asking if you know how to play the position.
ManFran and his $4.750M ($4.333M cap number) salary will not be missed, especially with Tuuka Rask waiting in the wings to finally get his chance at a full season in
Steve Montador – I guess it is unfair to tell Montador to pack your shit and get out, since the fans were expecting another Anaheim Duck to be dressed in a black and gold sweater. Unfortunately, based on his play against
Montador had a cap-friendly contract at $800K, but does that mean that he should come back based on that number? Hell no. Look at it this way, Montador played 13 games for the Bruins in the regular season and had 1 point. He tripled is point total to 3 points in 11 playoff games. He’s incapable of making tape to tape passes, playing the body and rarely positions himself well.
I, along with other Bruins fans I know, will not be sad to see this guy bite the dust.
Pezell’s “Meh Crowd”:
PJ Axelsson – I’ve never been a big PJ fan and I’ve made it known throughout his career in
What does he do well? Well he is a great penalty killer, there is no doubt there. Axelsson may be one, if not the, best penalty killer the Bruins had this season. Axelsson can also man the fourth line well, and with a line-up of Axelsson, Thornton and Yelle, you could put the fourth line out there without worry that the other team would beat on them.
What doesn’t he do well? Score. Lets face it, paying a player $2M to play on the fourth line is ridiculous. Axelsson played in 75 games this year, the same in the 2007-2008 season, yet scored 7 less goals, albeit his assist numbers went up.
I’m not saying I would like Axelsson gone, but if he is going to be a fourth line (and aging player) I think anything over $1.5M is overpaying.
Pezell’s Player inspired “Baby Come Back” crew:
Mark Recchi – The guy may be 41, but he put up some fantastic numbers in the 2008-2009 season. He played 80 games this year (62 with the Tampa Bay Lightning and 18 with the Bruins), amassed 23 goals (13 with
Recchi is the type of guy the Bruins need. He is a crafty veteran with playoff experience, who can sit in front of a goalie and deflect pucks into the net. He’s been playing this way his entire career.
The downfall is his age. Let’s call a spade a spade, Mark Recchi isn’t going to get any younger and by the time the season is over he will be 42 years old. He will be lucky to get a contract that is over 2 years in length. Given the fact he wants to stay in
Stephane Yelle – What an absolute steal Stephane Yelle was throughout the season. His cap number is the smallest amongst the
Yelle’s main role was to kill penalties and man the fourth, both of which he did very well. Many of you (and by many, I mean the 10 who read this blog) will be saying to yourselves “Hey, he is basically a clone of Axelsson,” and that is where you are wrong. Yelle provides the same penalty killing and fourth line play as PJ, but can win faceoffs. If you know hockey, you should know that winning a faceoff can be the difference between losing a game and winning a game. That puts Yelle in my baby come back category.
Shane Hnidy – The Sheriff needs to come back to
He is a sold third pairing guy, maybe even second pairing with Aaron Ward (depending if Andrew Ferrence even returns). I don’t have much to say on him, no eye popping stats to give you. The guy made $757K (cap hit) last year, and should be in line for a contract among that line, however I have a feeling he’ll test the waters.
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Well, these are the Bruins UFAs with a biased spin to them. Unlike the RFAs where I detailed more of the rules and compensation, this was based purely on which player(s) I feel did or did not fit in
Currently, the Bruins are going into the offseason with four restricted free agents (RFA) on their roster. The two biggest names on that list are Phil Kessel and David Krejci, but also are the names of crucial role players Matt Hunwick and Byron Bitz.
The biggest concern amongst the Bruins faithful is trying to re-sign both Kessel and Krejci to a deal that will not only keep them in a black and gold sweater for the long term, but also be cap friendly enough to sign some Unrestricted Free Agents (UFA). Is that possible? I have no idea. I am not sure the type of deal either Kessel or Krejci wants, however I can see Kessel trying to make a run at a high level contract.
What I am about to say may piss some people off, but I don’t think Kessel is worth a large contract. Sure, he scored 30+ goals, which was the highest for the Bruins since Patrice Bergeron’s sophomore year, but does that mean he should be given the king’s ransom?
The current RFA compensation table for 2008-2009 is: | |
| |
Amount: | Compensation Due: |
$863,156 of less | NONE |
$863,156 - $1,307,811 | Third Round Pick |
$1,307,811 - $2,615,623 | Second Round Pick |
$2,615,623 - $3,923,434 | First and Third Round Pick |
$3,923,434 - $5,231,246 | First, Second and Third Round Pick |
$5,231,246 - $6,539,061 | Two 1st's, one 2nd, one 3rd round pick |
Courtesy of NHLSCAP.com
So what happens if/when another team signs Kessel ($850K) or Krejci ($825K)? Well in terms of compensation, nothing. In fact, the Bruins wouldn’t be compensated if any of their RFAs (Hunkwick and Bitz included) decide to play for another team.
Can it be done? Sure. Will it be done? I guess we will find out after June 30.
Coming up later will be a look at the Bruins current UFAs and also potential UFAs on the market.
All contract information was supplied by NHLNumbers.comRehab and recovery will sideline Kessel for up to six months. Kessel is not expected to be ready for the start of 2009-10.
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So I see this as a good thing for the Bruins. It should definitely help the Bruins in contract negotiations. I can't see Kessel having a large bargaining chip if he is going to miss the start of the 2009-2010 season, which he is slated to do.
If there is any point where the Bruins can back Kessel into a corner and make him take a lower deal, this is the time to do it. Same thing with Krejci and possibly Recchi, though I'm not sure how handicap accessible the Garden is..